
STATISTICTAC 30TH JULY 2010
Today we have afternoon racing from Bangor On Dee,Thirsk and Goodwood plus evening meetings at Haydock, Bath and Newmarket.
Goodwood
- Stoute, Cumani, Noseda and Fanshawe have 20%+ returns.
- The form of Royal Ascot’s Hardwick Stakes has worked out extraordinarily well and Duncan (2.10) represents it here.
Thirsk
- William Haggas like a winner here and have returns in the mid twenties. He has Up At Last in the 3.35 (20/1 and last tome out beaten favourite Chicane in the 4.10.
- There is an advantage in being drawn high in the last two races.
Bangor On Dee
- Rebecca Curtis has a 30% strike rate and runs Fealing Real in the 2.35. The horse has won its last two races under rules.
- The in form Tim Vaughan has a similar strike rate and had twenty two entrants at the four day stage! He has seven on show here with three in the 5.30. Sassanian (2.00) is ridden by McCoy, and Grand Art (3.10), Totoman (3.45) Our Guardian Angel (4.55) and Lords Bridge (5.30) are all favourites.
- Philip Hobbs who had a winner and two seconds from three runners on Tuesday has the unraced Rounderthebed as second fav in the 4.55.
- Michael Blake’s last five runners have all been placed and Low Delta can be an each way steal against the odds on fav in the last.
- M Keighley is doing nearly as well and runs King Ozzy and Deep Reflection – both second favs – in the 2.35 and 3.10.
Bath
- Owner Jaber Abdullah has had 47% winners at Bath in recent seasons and Mick Channon sends the unraced Try The Chance for the 5.30 and the 9/4 favourite Grand Zafeen for the 6.05.
- Sir Mark Prescott (6/16) has two three year old improvers Lutine Bell and Sumerian in the 7.10 and 7.40 respectively.
- M S Saunders has had three winners and a place at big odds recently from five runners. His Nepotism takes on Lutine Bell at 7.10.
- Seb Sanders has a 20% strike rate for John Hills and rides Jewelled in the 8.15.
Haydock
- B. Hills (22%) sends last time out C/D winner Madany up for the 7.20.
- The Pearces have had 50% winners when teaming up at Haydock – Dr Finlay is in the 7.50
Newmarket
- Saeed Bin Suroor (25%) has the Dettori ridden Janood in the 6.25.
- Jeremy Noseda (22%) has the favourite Lost In The Moment in the 5.55. He also has a 50% win ratio when teaming up with Dettori at the course – Peter Martins runs in the 7.00
ROYAL ASCOT NEWS
Many thanks to our four guest writers. After an excellent Royal Ascot we can now offer a similar service for Glorious Goodwood
Note to Readers:
I think that the 'Nigel Twiston-Davies runners' section is going to be a very useful addition to our website. However, it is important to remember that, although we get a totally honest assessment of chances - the NTD team also have to be diplomatic and take into consideration the feelings of owners.
Therefore, I think we need to monitor the comments over a period of time, thus giving us some opportunity to learn how to read between the lines. For example, does 'worth a very small each way bet' mean exactly that or 'I don't want to offend the owners by saying he will not be sighted' ?
In my opinion the time that this column will bear most fruit is during Aug - Oct when the NTD team have most success. I would suggest we take a strong interest in this daily column until then before deciding whether or not we feel confident about making money from this new addition to Patterns and Profiles.